MAY I use Predictive Analytics to predict the planet Cup winner?

David Linder

David Linder

MSc in Marketing from the University of Salford. Facebook Certified Planning Professional Facebook Certified Buying Professional
4 min read

Predictive Analytics may be the future of marketing

Okay, in order that title may be a tad misleading. Particularly when you take into account my understanding of football is on a par with my understanding of forensic mineralogy (a rock is really a rock, right?). But I know about predictions. The hyperbole about Predictive Analytics and its own potential capacity to affect marketing has really ramped up within the last couple of months. Current industry commentary places Predictive Analytics, with regards to power and effectiveness on the far side of miracles, and with regards to its complexity, on a par with Stephen Hawking’s ‘A brief overview of time’.

So, I buy into the general thrust of 1 of these.

The results. The outcomes are phenomenal. They are really startling – to the extent that I’m considering our client’s results and heading back to your Head of Insight because there’s clearly a mis-type here (there isn’t).  But if we take the potential success as confirmed, why are so few marketers buying and investing in AI-Driven Predictive Analytics? Well talking with my fellow marketers, exactly the same phrases keep cropping up: ‘we can’t really implement the entire group of predictive models yet, so we’ll hold on a bit’; ‘GDPR’s been a nightmare’; ‘I’m uncertain we’ve got the info, it’s all around the place’; ‘everything seems really complex’.

predictive analytics

But why complex? We predict constantly utilizing the data open to us.

I predict my partner would want to watch the golf this weekend instead of visiting the cinema with me. How? Well, I’m considering his previous tv preferences (past behaviour), the actual fact he’s been considering it guide to see what’s on (current behaviour), and further contextual information I hold (he’s an enthusiastic golfer himself).

So I could predict, with a higher amount of certainty, his likely action this weekend. This is simply not the action I’d like. I would like to visit the cinema. I wish to see Oceans 8 (don’t judge). I would like to change his likely action.

How? Well I have to market it to him with the proper message. It is a message I could convincingly craft because I understand his likely action. THEREFORE I will wax lyrical concerning the film. I’ll remind him Sandra Bullock’s inside it (don’t ask), maybe add a motivation like dinner beforehand and remind him that the final time he watched the united states Open golf he fell asleep overnight on the sofa and got a crick in his neck.

I’ve predicted his likely action and used my marketing skills to change this to the effect I wish to see.

Now let’s visualise our marketing database and apply exactly the same logic.

If we concentrate on a location of the client journey where we’re struggling to realise the utmost potential, we are able to observe how a predictive model might help. Let’s say I would like to convert more single purchasers into multi-purchasers. In the end multi-purchasers only take into account 8% of the common customer database, but generate 40% of the worthiness. This is a location you want to grow! Following on from my homelife analogy above, we’re likely to analyse the next:

  • Past behaviour
  • Recent behaviour
  • Any other useful factors (for instance, is this a model where demographic, contextual or location data might play a role?)

What behaviours are we thinking about? Well chatting to your Head of Insight there’s 100-150 fields which are considered atlanta divorce attorneys model. Now thankfully these models are designed directly into our Marketing Automation technology, so no-one is literally needing to sift 100 plus fields. But whatever could make our predictions more accurate is given consideration. Among the other marketer concerns was they didn’t have sufficient of the proper sort of data. Quoting our Head of Insight again, you can begin using what you have! Workout what you ought to learn about and work from there. She’s also written an excellent blog on when Predictive may be beneficial – it is possible to read it here.

Anyway, back again to our mission to improve our multi-purchasers. Our model has combined past behaviours, current behaviours and any useful information to create two groups. More likely to turn into a multi-purchaser and unlikely to become multi-purchaser. Easy, right? It is now time to utilize your marketer super-hero skills and craft two messages to specifically target those two sets of customers. Obviously, the group that are more likely to become multi-purchasers certainly are a slightly easier proposition than those that aren’t. However, you’re not shooting at night here. You understand they’re the difficult group, unlikely, right now, to look with you again. Just how do you have them back? You understand your brand, guess what happens works, guess what happens messages have real impact – now you know who to send it to! Bingo!

So there we’ve it. The very best models will echo the client journey, following customer acquisition to multi-purchase, VIP, unsubscribe and churn reduction. The theory is your customers will move automatically through most of these models with time – leaving one to hone the messaging, strategy and add value atlanta divorce attorneys way without faffing with the database.

Before I go I owe you yet another prediction. And what exactly are betting odds but another type of prediction considering just what we’ve just discussed? A variety of past behaviour, current behaviour, along with other relevant factors to predict a likely outcome!

Go for Brazil. Currently sitting at 4/1*. You’re welcome.

*Disclaimer – by 1630 20/6/18 – don’t gamble your mortgage on it…

David Linder

David Linder

MSc in Marketing from the University of Salford. Facebook Certified Planning Professional Facebook Certified Buying Professional

Leave a Comment